tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 53%

  1. 20:05 DTW → 21:00 MSP
    DL 1303 · Delta · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:13 MSP → 00:59 ANC +1 day
    DL 411 · Delta · 5h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 50mDTW 20:05 to ANC 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.