tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Cleveland via Minneapolis: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:57 ORD → 19:38 MSP
    DL 1306 · Delta · 1h 41m · 51% on time, 7.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 MSP → 23:44 CLE
    DL 1392 · Delta · 1h 54m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (7.2% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 48mORD 17:57 to CLE 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.