tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Missoula via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:57 ORD → 19:38 MSP
    DL 1306 · Delta · 1h 41m · 51% on time, 7.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 MSP → 23:44 MSO
    DL 2610 · Delta · 2h 51m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (7.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 47mORD 17:57 to MSO 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.