tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 62%

  1. 17:57 ORD → 19:38 MSP
    DL 1306 · Delta · 1h 41m · 51% on time, 7.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:13 MSP → 00:59 ANC +1 day
    DL 411 · Delta · 5h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (7.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 58mORD 17:57 to ANC 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.