tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:02 IAH → 10:05 ATL
    DL 1315 · Delta · 2h 03m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 15:49 LGA
    DL 460 · Delta · 2h 19m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 47mIAH 07:02 to LGA 15:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.