tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Atlanta via Orlando: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:03 RDU → 19:04 MCO
    DL 1319 · Delta · 2h 01m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MCO → 21:48 ATL
    DL 1497 · Delta · 1h 53m · 67% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 45mRDU 17:03 to ATL 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.