tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:16 MIA → 21:34 ATL
    DL 1323 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 1310 · Delta · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 01mMIA 19:16 to MSP 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.