tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Baltimore via Boston: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:44 MSY → 19:16 BOS
    DL 1328 · Delta · 3h 32m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BOS → 22:29 BWI
    DL 5851 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 40mMSY 14:44 to BWI 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.