tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:09 MIA → 16:15 ATL
    DL 1332 · Delta · 2h 06m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:12 ATL → 18:53 RIC
    DL 1348 · Delta · 1h 41m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 44mMIA 14:09 to RIC 18:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.