tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:09 MIA → 16:15 ATL
    DL 1332 · Delta · 2h 06m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:14 ATL → 18:05 XNA
    DL 2771 · Delta · 1h 51m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 56mMIA 14:09 to XNA 18:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.