tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:09 MIA → 16:15 ATL
    DL 1332 · Delta · 2h 06m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 ATL → 18:52 SRQ
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 44mMIA 14:09 to SRQ 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.