tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Orlando: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:48 MCO
    DL 1337 · Delta · 1h 48m · 91% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 MCO → 13:47 JFK
    DL 2049 · Delta · 2h 42m · 82% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 47mRDU 06:00 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.