tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Miami via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:54 MCO → 16:50 LGA
    DL 1362 · Delta · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 LGA → 21:21 MIA
    DL 1620 · Delta · 3h 31m · 58% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 27mMCO 13:54 to MIA 21:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.