tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:45 SMF → 12:26 SLC
    DL 1367 · Delta · 1h 41m · 92% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:36 SLC → 21:28 JFK
    DL 671 · Delta · 4h 53m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 44mSMF 09:45 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.