tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:54 STL → 16:30 DTW
    DL 1371 · Delta · 1h 36m · 77% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 DTW → 18:46 CLE
    DL 4954 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 04m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 52mSTL 13:54 to CLE 18:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.