tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:40 MCO → 17:31 ATL
    DL 1372 · Delta · 1h 51m · 67% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 15mMCO 15:40 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.