tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 11:17 SDF → 12:45 ATL
    DL 1374 · Delta · 1h 27m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ATL → 16:04 PHL
    DL 1692 · Delta · 2h 04m · 69% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 47mSDF 11:17 to PHL 16:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.