tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:14 BUF → 14:23 ATL
    DL 1384 · Delta · 2h 09m · 84% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 ATL → 18:52 TPA
    DL 1594 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 38mBUF 12:14 to TPA 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.