tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:14 BUF → 14:23 ATL
    DL 1384 · Delta · 2h 09m · 84% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:33 ATL → 17:54 EWR
    DL 2340 · Delta · 2h 21m · 66% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 40mBUF 12:14 to EWR 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.