tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:05 MIA → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 17m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:54 ATL → 23:44 ORF
    DL 2338 · Delta · 1h 50m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 39mMIA 18:05 to ORF 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.