tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Wilmington via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:05 MIA → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 17m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 ILM
    DL 3070 · Delta · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 50mMIA 18:05 to ILM 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.