tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:05 MIA → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 17m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:39 ATL → 21:54 PNS
    DL 3086 · Delta · 1h 14m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 48mMIA 18:05 to PNS 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.