tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Diego via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:05 MIA → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 17m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 ATL → 23:00 SAN
    DL 896 · Delta · 4h 32m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 55mMIA 18:05 to SAN 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.