tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:33 RDU → 07:18 DTW
    DL 1388 · Delta · 1h 45m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 12:53 TPA
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 38m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 20mRDU 05:33 to TPA 12:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.