tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:33 RDU → 07:18 DTW
    DL 1388 · Delta · 1h 45m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DTW → 09:11 BNA
    DL 2682 · Delta · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 38mRDU 05:33 to BNA 09:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.