tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:33 RDU → 07:18 DTW
    DL 1388 · Delta · 1h 45m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 26mRDU 05:33 to JFK 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.