tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Richmond via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:20 IAH → 09:11 DTW
    DL 1389 · Delta · 2h 51m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:51 RIC
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 41m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 31mIAH 05:20 to RIC 11:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.