tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 17:22 PHL → 19:09 DTW
    DL 1391 · Delta · 1h 47m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 DTW → 21:48 PHX
    DL 2076 · Delta · 4h 04m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 26mPHL 17:22 to PHX 21:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.