tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:55 AUS → 20:33 ATL
    DL 1397 · Delta · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:24 MEM
    DL 2501 · Delta · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 30mAUS 16:55 to MEM 23:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.