tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:45 CHS → 17:50 LGA
    DL 1404 · Delta · 2h 05m · 63% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 LGA → 20:45 ORD
    DL 2513 · Delta · 2h 55m · 57% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charleston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 00mCHS 15:45 to ORD 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.