tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → New Orleans via Austin: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:03 AUS
    DL 1406 · Delta · 4h 03m · 93% on time, 7.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:29 AUS → 15:13 MSY
    DL 4016 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (7.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 13mJFK 07:00 to MSY 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.