tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:00 IAH → 11:33 LGA
    DL 1417 · Delta · 3h 33m · 88% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:29 LGA → 14:04 ORF
    DL 5329 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 35m · 77% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 04mIAH 07:00 to ORF 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.