tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Jacksonville via New York: arrives on time 55%

  1. 07:00 IAH → 11:33 LGA
    DL 1417 · Delta · 3h 33m · 88% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:39 LGA → 15:19 JAX
    DL 5461 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 40m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 19mIAH 07:00 to JAX 15:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.