tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:50 SEA
    DL 1418 · Delta · 3h 50m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:06 SEA → 13:55 SNA
    AS 1357 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 85% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 55mMSP 07:00 to SNA 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.