tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:50 SEA
    DL 1418 · Delta · 3h 50m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 SEA → 13:35 FAI
    DL 1061 · Delta · 3h 55m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 35mMSP 07:00 to FAI 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.