tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:50 SEA
    DL 1418 · Delta · 3h 50m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 SEA → 12:28 LAS
    DL 2905 · Delta · 2h 33m · 85% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 28mMSP 07:00 to LAS 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.