tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:50 SEA
    DL 1418 · Delta · 3h 50m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 SEA → 12:18 SMF
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 18mMSP 07:00 to SMF 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.