tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:35 MSY → 13:05 ATL
    DL 1424 · Delta · 1h 31m · 92% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:59 ATL → 16:28 JFK
    DL 1575 · Delta · 2h 29m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 53mMSY 10:35 to JFK 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.