tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:35 MSY → 13:05 ATL
    DL 1424 · Delta · 1h 31m · 92% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 ATL → 16:50 TPA
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 15mMSY 10:35 to TPA 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.