tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:57 TPA → 20:46 ATL
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:37 ATL → 23:39 MIA
    DL 1234 · Delta · 2h 02m · 65% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 42mTPA 18:57 to MIA 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.