tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:57 TPA → 20:46 ATL
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:49 ATL → 23:59 BUF
    DL 2334 · Delta · 2h 10m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 02mTPA 18:57 to BUF 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.