tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:57 TPA → 20:46 ATL
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:40 SFO +1 day
    DL 656 · Delta · 5h 00m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 43mTPA 18:57 to SFO 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.