tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:05 DTW → 08:48 RDU
    DL 1427 · Delta · 1h 43m · 94% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 RDU → 11:40 JFK
    DL 5294 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 40m · 79% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 35mDTW 07:05 to JFK 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.