tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:03 CLT → 18:54 DTW
    DL 1430 · Delta · 1h 51m · 67% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DTW → 20:41 DSM
    DL 5087 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 38mCLT 17:03 to DSM 20:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.