tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Birmingham via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:03 CLT → 18:54 DTW
    DL 1430 · Delta · 1h 51m · 67% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DTW → 20:39 BHM
    DL 3145 · Delta · 1h 59m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 41mCLT 17:03 to BHM 20:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.