tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Indianapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:15 BOS → 19:39 DTW
    DL 1432 · Delta · 2h 20m · 70% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DTW → 21:55 IND
    DL 4898 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 66% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 40mBOS 17:15 to IND 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.