tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Knoxville via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:39 DTW → 15:19 TYS
    DL 4698 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 40m · 74% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 19mMSP 09:00 to TYS 15:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.