tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:21 DTW → 16:12 ORF
    DL 1621 · Delta · 1h 51m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 12mMSP 09:00 to ORF 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.