tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 55mMSP 09:00 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.