tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 DTW → 15:21 BUF
    DL 3642 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 21mMSP 09:00 to BUF 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.